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Dow 10,318.16 -14.28
 
NASDAQ 2,146.04 -10.78
 
S&P 1,091.38 -3.52


Services Tools Corporate
November 21, 2009
Monday's Hotsheet
The HOT Sheet - Tomorrows News Today
January 20, 2009
 
arrow Consumer Spending May Be Stabilizing
 
arrow Hot Tickets From the Alliance
 
arrow Join ChangeWave at the Orlando Money Show
 
Tobin Smith

Don't Break Out the Bubbly Just Yet

It's been a while since we've brought you any good news from the consumer spending front. But in our latest survey, we've actually registered a small spending uptick for the first time since May 2008.

While this is obviously a positive sign, it's not time to start celebrating just yet. Is this a sustainable trend, or a short-term phenomenon due to a new administration and lower inflation? Check out today's Hot Sheet to get the details on the good, the bad and the ugly.


Toby

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We are Nick Atkeson and Andrew Houghton, professional money managers, and we are writing today to warn you about more difficult times ahead for traditional investors.

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arrow Consumer Spending May Be Stabilizing

Latest survey shows some positive signs, but overall outlook remains negative

By Paul Carton and Jean Crumrine

ChangeWave's latest survey shows some intriguing signs that consumer spending may finally be stabilizing after a prolonged slowdown.

For the first time in eight months, we're seeing signs of a tiny spending uptick. Moreover, there's an improvement in consumer sentiment and expectations going forward.

But don't break out the champagne just yet. The overall spending environment remains fiercely negative, and this momentary improvement may prove to be short-lived -- similar to what happened after the tiny uptick in May 2008, that occurred as a result of the stimulus tax rebate program. 

Keep reading to get a look at the good and the bad.

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arrow Hot Tickets From the Alliance

Each week Alliance members submit "Hot Tickets" as a way of presenting new observations and ideas on investable opportunities to ChangeWave.

* Note: These Hot Tickets are for informational purposes only. They do not represent recommendations from ChangeWave.

(1) Local Competitors Hurting

CHU53498 writes: "Wal-Mart (WMT) is a leader in low-cost clothing, but one of their local competitors, Goody's Family Clothing, is liquidating. So this is temporarily pulling sales from Wal-Mart, as everyone is buying clothes at cheap prices from Goody's. I see Wal-Mart driving its local competition out of business during this recession, and its sales in the second half of 2009 should rebound because the competition is gone."

(2) Consumer Credit Crunch

GRE1314 writes: "Consumer credit cards could be the next area for write-offs after real estate. I've received two cancellation letters from credit card companies -- Capital One (COF) and Washington Mutual. In my 20-plus years of having credit cards, I have never had one of my accounts closed by a bank. I suspect companies that have more risk in the consumer lending area are doing whatever they can to reduce their exposure, which includes closing accounts. Things are likely to get very difficult for those with marginal credit histories."

(3) Macworld vs. CES

WIL13938 writes: "Before Macworld, the Applesphere buzzed with chatter about an impending 'iPhone Pro' or 'iPhone Elite' upgrade. The wonderful improvement would, according to this vision, include a physical keyboard that would fold or slide out. The other major expectation was that Apple (AAPL) would enter the thriving netbook market.

"Surprisingly, an 'iPhone Elite' and a 'MacBook Nano' were both announced -- but not at Macworld, and not by Apple. They were unveiled at the CES by Palm (PALM) and Sony (SNE) -- two industry laggards written off as has-beens."

(4) Better in Texas

RLT93271 writes: "Within the past two weeks, we had two birthdays that were celebrated at two different restaurants. At Red Lobster, which is owned by Darden Restaurants (DRI), the service was poor and the staff seemed to be rushed. At Texas Roadhouse (TXRH), the service was very good considering that the place was full, and when we left every employee that we went by thanked us for coming in. Our next dinner will be at Texas Roadhouse."


arrow Join ChangeWave at the Orlando Money Show

Investors' portfolios have taken a beating during the past few months. With a new president, a global economic downturn, U.S. recession and $700 billion government bailout, investors are left wondering if the worst is behind them or if the other shoe is about to drop.

Join ChangeWave Feb. 4-7, for the World Money Show at the Gaylord Palms Resort in Orlando, Fla.

Learn how to find profitable opportunities during this market crisis and position your portfolio for safety and growth.

Don't wait -- these tickets go fast. Register online or call (800) 970-4355 and mention priority code 012622 to get your free tickets today.