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November 21, 2009
Wednesday’s Rant
Toby’s RANT of the Week
  January 28, 2009
 
arrow Rant of the Week: 6 Keys to Green Investing Profits
 
arrow Watch 'Bulls & Bears' on Fox News
 
arrow Wine Find: Provence -- Not Just About the Reds
 
tobin smith

arrowFollow the Green

Today's headlines were dominated by the government's stimulus plan, as the House of Representatives passed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. In a statement issued by President Obama, he said that the recovery bill "will double our capacity to generate renewable energy." And to double our green capacity is going to take a lot of green. A spending tsunami is about to be unleashed as a new clean energy economy is developed. Check out today's rant to learn how you can profit from it.

Toby

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Toby’s Rant 6 Keys to Green Investing Profits

At ChangeWave, we're obviously big proponents of the Green Energy Wave, and with President Obama's stated green agenda, we've been touting this as the next great investment wave that will offer life-changing wealth.

Almost everyone was on the alternative energy bandwagon when oil was pushing $150 per barrel, but I'm sure many of you are wondering how sub-$50 per barrel oil will affect the United States' green energy future.

OPEC's production cuts have given oil prices a base, but sub-$50 per barrel oil will likely be the case until we rebound from the current economic contraction.

People are asking if lower oil prices will affect the competitiveness and psychological need to develop alternative energy. Does Obama really have a chance to push through a green agenda in a bad economy where energy prices aren't an immediate problem?

The answer is yes.

Our Green Future

The argument for green energy development has changed from Al Gore's "the world is warming" to "green/clean tech equals 2 million to 3 million new jobs." It's brilliant!

At a press conference in December to introduce his picks to lead the Energy Department and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Obama said that unlike past presidents who promised to break the country's addiction to oil and failed to follow through, "This time must be different."

"This will be a leading priority of my presidency and a defining test of our time. We cannot accept complacency, nor accept any more broken promises," he said.

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act proposes billions of dollars in new alternative energy technology investments/spending, energy conservation and so-called "nega-watt" investments (i.e., every watt you save is a watt you don't have to create.)

Moreover, Obama's green plan aims to:

1) Double energy production from renewables to 10% by 2012 and 25% by 2025.

2) Eliminate oil imports from the Middle East and Venezuela within 10 years.

3) Put 1 million plug-in hybrids/green cars on road by 2015.

Making the Green

So, how do you invest in the upcoming spending tsunami that has the potential to turn your 201(k) back into a 401(k)?

Before you throw away money that you can't afford to lose, I advise you to gain a basic understanding of what can be done now, what can't be done, and who the winners and losers will be during the next decade.

That's exactly what I give investors in my new book, "Billion Dollar Green: Profit From the Eco Revolution." It's a how-to guide on investing in green energy and clean tech, and it provides a rundown of the winners and losers of the spending wave powered by Obamanomics. (Get your copy today.)

To give you a head start, I'm going to cover what I believe are six key points that will help you profit from the Green Energy Wave.

1. New Power Grids

No renewable energy can get from the regions where it is produced (the sunny, windy and geothermally active states) to the areas it's most needed (densely populated cities) without $150 billion to $200 billion in new power transportation infrastructure.

Furthermore, a substantial amount of the power in the United States is wasted, given off as heat or by other means.

Without a new "smart grid" to transport the renewable energy and reduce wasted energy, Obama's plan is DOA and a horrific waste of money.

Winning investments in the short term will be those that do not require a new power grid. However, you can invest in the grid development process.

Some standout smart-grid companies that have received venture capital funding in the past year include Trilliant, GridPoint, eMeter, Silver Spring Networks, SmartSynch, GainSpan, Onzo and Grid Net. Look for many of these companies to go public when the market comes back.

2. Legislation

A national electric grid requires imminent domain. Without enabling legislation for the new "smart" power transportation grids, the NIMBY (not in my backyard) obstructionists can hold up Obama's green energy plan for decades.

3. The Financial Crisis

The financial crisis is the biggest impediment to turning Obama's vision into reality. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act proposes $8 billion in loan guarantees for renewable energy generation and $32 billion for smart-grid technology.

What is really needed, though, is a bold, new financing system like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had for housing before they got hijacked into subprime lending.

We need a "Greenie Mae" system like our Ginnie Mae government mortgage system -- where guarantees are made on loans to create power purchase agreement (PPA) deals.

4. IPOs

Focus some of your investment capital in second- and third-generation renewable/green technologies that don't require a power grid from companies that have IPOs coming soon. That is where the big money will be made.

For instance, a Silicon Valley company called Bloom Energy is selling fuel cells to Google (GOOG) and Staples (SPLS). (For the purpose of full disclosure, I am an investor in Bloom.)

These fuel cells can power buildings, allowing them to be taken off the grid, power data centers (solar and other alternative technologies can't do this), and power an electric or hybrid fleet of vehicles.

5. Solar

Invest in solar technology that has reached price parity with coal without subsidies.

Thin-film technology from First Solar (FSLR) is close, but new solar concentrator technologies are cheaper than coal right now. Privately held SolFocus is a good example of this technology today.

6. Government Mandates

Take advantage of more efficient technology that is available today and being mandated by national or state governments.

For instance, incandescent lights will be banned in Australia in 2010, followed by Europe in 2012 and the United States in 2015.

At ChangeWave Investing, we own the player with the key enabling technology for solid-state lighting -- i.e., white-light LEDs. (Get in now.)

Changing out 130-year-old lighting technology with white-light LEDs could save 15% or more of all electrical power in the United States. White-light LEDs can produce as much light as an 80-watt bulb using 90% less power and last up to 50,000 hours or more.

I've just given you six points to consider before you get started investing in the Green Wave. At ChangeWave Investing, we're poised to make serious money in green energy and clean tech. And you should be, too.

Toby

P.S. Don't make the mistake of thinking lower oil prices will derail the green energy economy. Obama has his eye on the prize, and you should, too. To start riding the Green Energy Wave, join ChangeWave Investing today.

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arrowWatch 'Bulls & Bears' on Fox News

Be sure to tune in to Fox News Channel this weekend and join Toby and the crew on "Bulls & Bears" for their weekly market roundtable as they kick off the Fox News Channel business block on Saturday, Jan. 31, at 10 a.m. Eastern. ("Bulls & Bears" replays at 4 p.m. Eastern, Sunday, Feb. 1, and 4 a.m. Eastern, Monday, Feb. 2.) Or you can catch the show Saturday evenings at 6 p.m. Eastern on the Fox Business Network.

Check your local cable listings or satellite guide to find the Fox News Channel location and times for your area. NOTE: These shows are NOT on your local Fox network station. They are on Fox News Channel on your cable or satellite system (Channel 360 on DirecTV, Channel 205 on Dish Network). Keep in mind that these schedules are subject to change, and the Fox News Channel business block and other programming may be pre-empted for breaking news events.
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arrowWine Find: Provence -- Not Just About the Reds

We're in the process of planning the next Wine, Dine and Stocks Seminar, and this year's adventure will take us to Provence in southern France. This area is another one of my favorite food and wine regions of the world, with the highlight being the Côtes du Rhône.

A lot of pricey wines come from this region, but today I have a great pick that you can get for less than $20 a bottle: the 2004 Chateau du Rouet "Cuvee Belle Poule" Blanc.

Tasting notes: "Pale gold in the glass, this wine has an appealing nose of pears, rainwater and very faint melon aromas. In the mouth it is crisp, light and bouncy. Great acidity and mineral qualities underlie green melon and pear flavors that along with the chalky stone quality to the wine make it fantastically refreshing." (From www.vinography.com.)

This wine pairs beautifully with seafood. And if you can't find the 2004, the 2005 and 2006 vintages are also good.

Provence … it's not just about the big reds.

To share your favorite wine or food experience, e-mail me through the form at www.changewave.com.