changewave.com Volume 9, Issue 113

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Monday's Hotsheet
The HOT Sheet - Tomorrows News Today
September 22, 2008
arrow U.S. Economy Spirals Downward
 
arrow Hot Tickets From the Alliance
 
arrow Join ChangeWave at the D.C. Money Show and Las Vegas Traders Expo
 
Tobin Smith

Keeping a Weather Eye on the Economy

The perfect storm that is assaulting the U.S. economy -- the credit crisis, an economic slowdown, rising unemployment, inflation, etc. -- is still packing plenty of punch. The ChangeWave Alliance carefully monitors the macroeconomic and sector trends, and our latest survey shows that the pace of this economic downturn is accelerating. Add to that the latest failures of major financial firms, along with the slowing global economy, and we have to be prepared for substantial turmoil in the months ahead, regardless of the government's $700 billion bailout plan.

Keep reading to ensure that you are armed with the necessary information to weather the storm.


Toby

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arrow U.S. Economy Spirals Downward

By Paul Carton

A perfect storm has hit the U.S. economy this quarter, and the odds are high that it will be a while before that storm subsides.

Our latest ChangeWave corporate survey of 3,058 respondents shows the economy locked in an accelerating downward spiral, led by sharply lower third-quarter sales projections, reduced visibility, a worsening job market and a further plunge in business capital spending.

Our survey also shows the U.S. credit crisis getting much worse.

Read on to find out what storm clouds are looming large over the U.S. economy.


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arrow Hot Tickets From the Alliance

Each week Alliance members submit "Hot Tickets" as a way of presenting new observations and ideas on investable opportunities to ChangeWave. Today we're focusing on some of the biggest industry shifts occurring during the next 12 months. Read on to find out what you need to know.

*Note: These Hot Tickets are for informational purposes only. They do not represent recommendations from ChangeWave.

(Question asked: What do you think will be the most surprising shift or advancement in your industry during the next 12 months?

(A) Computer Hardware and Networking

RAI60141 writes: "There is greater acceptance by our customers of non-Microsoft (MSFT) operating systems, including Linux. This is driving overall product costs lower."

(B) Communications, Media and Publishing

RIC74227 writes: "We are a printer/publisher of scientific and technical journals. Rising paper prices and shipping costs are accelerating our move to online-only publishing."

(C) Education and Training

EAB70219 writes: "We see an increasing adoption of e-learning services -- which is finally approaching the pre-2000 predictions in terms of market share. Energy-related issues will help to exacerbate this shift."

(D) Energy and Utilities

RST00456 writes: "We have insufficient manpower to complete all the new projects, and we are unable to attract enough new people due to the current housing environment."

(E) Government

ALN98201 writes: "There is an emphasis on using collaborative software tools to reduce travel and increase worker productivity."

(F) Healthcare

MRA82042 writes: "Businesses are requiring HMOs to include more-specific coding for services to better monitor costs. Also, some businesses have been shifting medical coverage costs beyond the basics to employees."

(G) Telecommunications

STE5779 writes: "We'll see an accelerated move to 3G due to the Apple (AAPL) iPhone and new Research In Motion (RIMM) phones."



arrow Join ChangeWave at the D.C. Money Show and Las Vegas Traders Expo

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